Goal expectancy
1.21Expected goals1.23
From 23 and 23 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Rustavi 35.8%, draw 27.4%, Spaeri 36.8%. From 23 and 23 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
59BuildingRustavi
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
66BuildingSpaeri
Spaeri · compact defense · hot form
Rustavi
11W · 7D · 5LRecent →LLWWWWWWDWDLWLDDDLDWWDW
Momentum index
Spaeri
13W · 9D · 1LRecent →DDWWDDWWDLWDWWWDWWWWDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSpaeri +8
Rustavi
40 pts48% wins
11W · 7D · 5L · 23 played
For31
Against23
Spaeri
48 pts57% wins
13W · 9D · 1L · 23 played
For40
Against18
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Rustavi offensive edge
Rustavi's attack (56%) vs Spaeri's defense (55%).
+1 - Spaeri offensive edge
Spaeri runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-1
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Spaericompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Rustavi33%
1Draws
1Spaeri33%