Goal expectancy
1.36Expected goals1.12
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Rustavi
Estimated win chances: Rustavi 42.3%, draw 26.9%, Spaeri 30.8%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
49MixedRustavi
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
43MixedSpaeri
Rustavi · compact defense
Rustavi
6W · 5D · 4LRecent →LWDLDWWDDWWLLDW
Momentum index
Spaeri
5W · 5D · 5LRecent →WDDWLDLLDDLWWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRustavi +3
Rustavi
23 pts40% wins
6W · 5D · 4L · 15 played
For17
Against13
Spaeri
20 pts33% wins
5W · 5D · 5L · 15 played
For22
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Rustavi offensive edge
Rustavi faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-14 - Spaeri offensive edge
Spaeri's attack (64%) vs Rustavi's defense (50%).
+14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Rustavicompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Rustavi50%
3Draws
2Spaeri20%