Goal expectancy
1.77Expected goals1.16
From 9 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Ryazan
Estimated win chances: Ryazan 51.7%, draw 23.4%, Kvant 24.9%. From 9 and 10 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
34Cold spellRyazan
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
29Cold spellKvant
Ryazan · cold formKvant · High-risk / fragile
Ryazan
3W · 2D · 4LRecent →DLLWLDWLW
Momentum index
Kvant
2W · 4D · 4LRecent →DLLWLDDLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Ryazan
11 pts33% wins
3W · 2D · 4L · 9 played
For16
Against14
Kvant
10 pts20% wins
2W · 4D · 4L · 10 played
For9
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ryazan offensive edge
Ryazan's attack (56%) vs Kvant's defense (53%).
+3 - Kvant offensive edge
Kvant runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ryazancold form
KvantHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Ryazan75%
1Draws
0Kvant0%