Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals1.15
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Samtredia
Estimated win chances: Samtredia 38.9%, draw 27.5%, Meskheti 33.6%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedSamtredia
Weighted momentum
Samtredia carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).
33Cold spellMeskheti
Samtredia · low scoringMeskheti · low scoring · cold form
Samtredia
5W · 6D · 10LRecent →WWDWLLWDLWDLLLDDLLDLL
Momentum index
Meskheti
6W · 3D · 12LRecent →WLDLLWLLLDLWWWLLLDLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Samtredia
21 pts24% wins
5W · 6D · 10L · 21 played
For19
Against31
Meskheti
21 pts29% wins
6W · 3D · 12L · 21 played
For20
Against27
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Samtredia offensive edge
Samtredia's attack (80%) vs Meskheti's defense (40%).
+40 - Meskheti offensive edge
Meskheti runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-40
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Samtredialow scoring
Meskhetilow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Samtredia50%
0Draws
1Meskheti50%