Goal expectancy
1.94Expected goals1.26
From 23 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Šilas
Estimated win chances: Šilas 53.2%, draw 22.1%, Jonava 24.7%. From 23 and 25 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
39Cold spellŠilas
Weighted momentum
Šilas carries the sharper recent run (+24 momentum).
15Cold spellJonava
Šilas · High-risk / fragileJonava · High-risk / fragile
Šilas
11W · 2D · 10LRecent →LLLDWLWLLLLWDWWWLWWLWWW
Momentum index
Jonava
3W · 2D · 20LRecent →LLLLWLLLLDLLLLWLLWLDLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Šilas
35 pts48% wins
11W · 2D · 10L · 23 played
For27
Against43
Jonava
11 pts12% wins
3W · 2D · 20L · 25 played
For22
Against63
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Šilas offensive edge
Šilas faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-18 - Jonava offensive edge
Jonava's attack (70%) vs Šilas's defense (52%).
+18
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
ŠilasHigh-risk / fragile
JonavaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Šilas44%
2Draws
3Jonava33%