Goal expectancy
2.17Expected goals1.41
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Sirius
Estimated win chances: Sirius 54.9%, draw 20.5%, Malmo Ff 24.6%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
69Hot streakSirius
Weighted momentum
Sirius carries the sharper recent run (+22 momentum).
47MixedMalmo Ff
Sirius · hot formMalmo Ff · leaky defense
Sirius
13W · 3D · 2LRecent →LLDWWWWDWWWWWDWWWW
Momentum index
Malmo Ff
8W · 2D · 8LRecent →LWLWLDWWWLLLLWLWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSirius +16
Sirius
42 pts72% wins
13W · 3D · 2L · 18 played
For47
Against26
Malmo Ff
26 pts44% wins
8W · 2D · 8L · 18 played
For32
Against30
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sirius offensive edge
Sirius's attack (69%) vs Malmo Ff's defense (56%).
+13 - Malmo Ff offensive edge
Malmo Ff runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Siriushot form
Malmo Ffleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Sirius40%
1Draws
5Malmo Ff50%