Goal expectancy
1.79Expected goals0.89
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Sonabel
Estimated win chances: Sonabel 58.6%, draw 23%, Kozaf 18.4%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
68Hot streakSonabel
Weighted momentum
Sonabel carries the sharper recent run (+61 momentum).
7Cold spellKozaf
Sonabel · Structured / conservativeKozaf · High-risk / fragile
Sonabel
3W · 2D · 0LRecent →DWDWW
Momentum index
Kozaf
0W · 1D · 4LRecent →LLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSonabel +10
Sonabel
11 pts60% wins
3W · 2D · 0L · 5 played
For5
Against2
Kozaf
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 4L · 5 played
For4
Against14
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sonabel offensive edge
Sonabel's attack (56%) vs Kozaf's defense (13%).
+43 - Kozaf offensive edge
Kozaf runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-44
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
SonabelStructured / conservative
KozafHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Sonabel0%
3Draws
1Kozaf25%