Goal expectancy
1.29Expected goals1.15
From 32 and 32 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Spaeri
Estimated win chances: Spaeri 39.7%, draw 27.3%, Rustavi 33%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
52BuildingSpaeri
Weighted momentum
Rustavi arrives with stronger form weighting (+22 momentum).
74Hot streakRustavi
Spaeri · compact defenseRustavi · compact defense · hot form
Spaeri
15W · 13D · 4LRecent →DDDLLDWWLDDWWDDWWDLWDWWWDWWWWDWD
Momentum index
Rustavi
19W · 8D · 5LRecent →WWDWWWWWWLLWWWWWWDWDLWLDDDLDWWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRustavi +7
Spaeri
58 pts47% wins
15W · 13D · 4L · 32 played
For48
Against26
Rustavi
65 pts59% wins
19W · 8D · 5L · 32 played
For53
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Spaeri offensive edge
Spaeri faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-52 - Rustavi offensive edge
Rustavi's attack (81%) vs Spaeri's defense (29%).
+52
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Spaericompact defense
Rustavicompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Spaeri50%
1Draws
1Rustavi25%