Goal expectancy
1.51Expected goals1.43
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Super Nova 2 0-1 Mārupe Prediction
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Super Nova 2 39.5%, draw 24.6%, Mārupe 35.9%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedSuper Nova 2
Weighted momentum
Super Nova 2 carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).
34Cold spellMārupe
Mārupe · cold form
Super Nova 2
2W · 2D · 1LRecent →LDWDW
Momentum index
Mārupe
2W · 1D · 2LRecent →LLDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSuper Nova 2 +1
Super Nova 2
8 pts40% wins
2W · 2D · 1L · 5 played
For9
Against7
Mārupe
7 pts40% wins
2W · 1D · 2L · 5 played
For11
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Super Nova 2 offensive edge
Super Nova 2 faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Mārupe offensive edge
Mārupe's attack (55%) vs Super Nova 2's defense (42%).
+13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Mārupecold form