Goal expectancy
2.45Expected goals2.06
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Tulevik
Estimated win chances: Tulevik 47.5%, draw 19.1%, Luunja 33.4%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
53BuildingTulevik
Weighted momentum
Luunja arrives with stronger form weighting (+12 momentum).
65BuildingLuunja
Tulevik · leaky defenseLuunja · leaky defense
Tulevik
11W · 2D · 7LRecent →DLLDLWWWWWWWLWLLLWWW
Momentum index
Luunja
13W · 2D · 5LRecent →WWLDLWWWWDWLWLLWWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLuunja +6
Tulevik
35 pts55% wins
11W · 2D · 7L · 20 played
For55
Against39
Luunja
41 pts65% wins
13W · 2D · 5L · 20 played
For59
Against41
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tulevik offensive edge
Tulevik faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12 - Luunja offensive edge
Luunja's attack (71%) vs Tulevik's defense (59%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Tulevikleaky defense
Luunjaleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Tulevik50%
2Draws
1Luunja17%