Goal expectancy
1.46Expected goals1.11
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Uberaba
Estimated win chances: Uberaba 45.2%, draw 26.1%, Cap 28.8%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
58BuildingUberaba
Weighted momentum
Uberaba carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).
47MixedCap
Uberaba · compact defense
Uberaba
2W · 0D · 1LRecent →LWW
Momentum index
Cap
1W · 1D · 1LRecent →DWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUberaba +2
Uberaba
6 pts67% wins
2W · 0D · 1L · 3 played
For4
Against2
Cap
4 pts33% wins
1W · 1D · 1L · 3 played
For4
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Uberaba offensive edge
Uberaba's attack (50%) vs Cap's defense (33%).
+17 - Cap offensive edge
Cap runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-17
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Uberabacompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Uberaba50%
0Draws
1Cap50%