Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.15
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Vendée Fontenay 0-0 Challans Prediction
Balanced — model leans Vendée Fontenay
Estimated win chances: Vendée Fontenay 43.7%, draw 26.1%, Challans 30.2%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedVendée Fontenay
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
36Cold spellChallans
Challans · cold form
Vendée Fontenay
8W · 10D · 7LRecent →LDWDLDDDDLWLWDDWWWLDDWLWL
Momentum index
Challans
7W · 11D · 7LRecent →DDDDDLDDDLLDWDDWLWLWLWWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVendée Fontenay +2
Vendée Fontenay
34 pts32% wins
8W · 10D · 7L · 25 played
For40
Against31
Challans
32 pts28% wins
7W · 11D · 7L · 25 played
For32
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Vendée Fontenay offensive edge
Vendée Fontenay's attack (65%) vs Challans's defense (60%).
+5 - Challans offensive edge
Challans runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Challanscold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Vendée Fontenay57%
3Draws
0Challans0%