Vic 1-0 Peralada Prediction

VicVic
1 — 0FT
PeraladaPeralada

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Peralada

Estimated win chances: Vic 33.5%, draw 27.2%, Peralada 39.3%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.17Expected goals1.29

From 13 and 13 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–111.2%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 1–28.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

20Cold spellVic
Weighted momentum

Peralada arrives with stronger form weighting (+32 momentum).

52BuildingPeralada
Vic · High-risk / fragilePeralada · compact defense

Vic

1W · 5D · 7L
Recent →DLLLDLWDLLDDL
Momentum index

Peralada

5W · 5D · 3L
Recent →WDLDDWWLDWDWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapPeralada +12

Vic

8 pts
8% wins

1W · 5D · 7L · 13 played

For
13
Against
24
Goal diff -11

Peralada

20 pts
38% wins

5W · 5D · 3L · 13 played

For
14
Against
12
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Vic offensive edge

    Vic faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -21
  • Peralada offensive edge

    Peralada's attack (44%) vs Vic's defense (23%).

    +21

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Vic56
Peralada44

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Vic23
Peralada77

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Vic20
Peralada52

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Vic8
Peralada92

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Vic37
Peralada30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Vic25
Peralada75

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Vic0
Peralada0
VicHigh-risk / fragile
Peraladacompact defense