Goal expectancy
2.06Expected goals1.26
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Vimy
Estimated win chances: Vimy 55.8%, draw 21.2%, Compiègne 23%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
49MixedVimy
Weighted momentum
Vimy carries the sharper recent run (+32 momentum).
17Cold spellCompiègne
Vimy · leaky defenseCompiègne · High-risk / fragile
Vimy
9W · 4D · 7LRecent →WDWLLWLDDDLWLWWWLWLW
Momentum index
Compiègne
3W · 5D · 12LRecent →DLLLLLLLLDWLLDWDLDLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVimy +17
Vimy
31 pts45% wins
9W · 4D · 7L · 20 played
For33
Against35
Compiègne
14 pts15% wins
3W · 5D · 12L · 20 played
For20
Against46
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Vimy offensive edge
Vimy's attack (67%) vs Compiègne's defense (39%).
+28 - Compiègne offensive edge
Compiègne runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-28
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Vimyleaky defense
CompiègneHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Vimy33%
1Draws
1Compiègne33%