Fluminense 1-0 Mirassol
Key events
View all- K. Serna
FT 1–0
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Estimated outcome
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Fluminense35.3%
- Draw26.6%
- Mirassol38.1%
Venue
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã)
Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro · Brazil
- Address
- Rua Professor Eurico Rabelo, Maracanã
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 78838
Match
Anderson Daronco, Brazil
Round 32
- Referee
- Anderson Daronco, Brazil
- Round
- 32
- Date
Competition
League · Brazil
- Country
- Brazil (BR)
- Season
- 2025
- Dates
- 2025-03-29 → 2025-12-07
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
43%43%57%57%
Expected goals (xG)
2.0959%1.4541%
Total shots
1662%1038%
Shots on target
467%233%
Team form & competition
View all- #5 Position
- 64 Points
- 19-7-12 W-D-L
- 50/39 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 6-0 / 0-2
- Worst defeats
- 0-2 / 4-2
- #4 Position
- 67 Points
- 18-13-7 W-D-L
- 63/39 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 5-1 / 0-2
- Worst defeats
- 3-0
Head to head
View all0Fluminensewins
0Drawsmatches
1Mirassolwins
Recorded meetings: 1 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Mirassol 2–1 Fluminense
- Fluminense most goals
- Mirassol 2–1 Fluminense
- Mirassol most goals
- Mirassol 2–1 Fluminense
Match headlines
Headlines link to a short summary; the full story is on the original publisher’s site.




Fluminense created the clearer chances on xG (2.09 vs 1.45, Δ 0.64). Fluminense fired more attempts (16 vs 10 shots). Mirassol held more of the ball (57% possession).
Fluminense underperformed their xG by 1.1 goals (1 scored vs 2.09 xG). Mirassol underperformed their xG by 1.4 goals (0 scored vs 1.45 xG).