Mirassol 1-0 Fluminense
Key events
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Fluminense- Denilson
MirassolFT 1–0
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Estimated outcome
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Mirassol35.2%
- Draw25.5%
- Fluminense39.3%
Venue
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Mirassol, São Paulo · Brazil
- Address
- Avenida Lauro Luchesi 2650, Centro
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 14534
Match
Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil
Round 17
- Referee
- Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil
- Round
- 17
- Date
Competition
League · Brazil
- Country
- Brazil (BR)
- Season
- 2026
- Dates
- 2026-01-28 → 2026-12-02
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
41%41%59%59%
Expected goals (xG)
0.2662%0.1638%
Total shots
571%229%
Shots on target
3100%00%
Team form & competition
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- #14 Position
- 40 Points
- 10-10-14 W-D-L
- 39/48 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 2-0 / 1-2
- Worst defeats
- 1-5 / 3-1
- #4 Position
- 54 Points
- 15-9-9 W-D-L
- 52/42 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-0 / 1-3
- Worst defeats
- 1-2 / 3-1
Head to head
View all1Mirassolwins
0Drawsmatches
1Fluminensewins
Recorded meetings: 2 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Mirassol 2–1 Fluminense
- Mirassol most goals
- Mirassol 2–1 Fluminense
- Fluminense most goals
- Fluminense 1–0 Mirassol
Match headlines
Headlines link to a short summary; the full story is on the original publisher’s site.
Mirassol created the clearer chances on xG (0.26 vs 0.16, Δ 0.10). Mirassol fired more attempts (5 vs 2 shots). Mirassol was more accurate in front of goal (60% on target vs 0%). Fluminense held more of the ball (59% possession).
Mirassol outperformed their xG by 0.7 goals (1 scored vs 0.26 xG).